February 24, 2009

Folding Overpairs at 50nl

Things have evened out for me over the past week, and I have started posting consistent results since an epic downswing mentioned from 10 days ago. As well as trying REALLY hard to put hand ranges to players (with the exception of the superdonks...... how do you put someone on J3s from early postion???) and adjust/refine those ranges throughout each hand, and then each session as showdowns increase, I have started to try and get feels for sets.

Probably my biggest leak in the past was never ever being able to fold AA/KK etc to raggedy flops, despite some nit check raising me on either the flop or the turn. I would try and convince myself a variety of reasons to felt the reply, and usually would end up going broke.

Folding big hands to what seems like a bluff raise leaves a nasty taste in the mouth, but one that has started to take the jags out of my graph.


$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
Poker Tools by Stoxpoker - Hand Details

MP2: $50 (100 bb)
MP3: $134.55 (269.1 bb)
Hero (CO): $94.75 (189.5 bb)
BTN: $100.70 (201.4 bb)
SB: $94.05 (188.1 bb)
BB: $34 (68 bb)
UTG+2: $54.85 (109.7 bb)
MP1: $50 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is CO with K of diamonds K of spades
4 folds, Hero raises to $1.75, BTN calls $1.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($4.25) 7 of diamonds 4 of spades 9 of diamonds (2 players)
Hero bets $3, BTN raises to $9, Hero raises to $15, BTN raises to $42, Hero folds

Results: $34.25 pot ($1.70 rake)
BTN mucked and won $32.55 ($15.80 net)

Just no idea here where i was in the hand. I 4bet him on flop to see where i was. Villain was a 13/10/2.5 over 1.5k hands. I couldn't figure out why he would raise with a set here, unless he was worried about akdd. Only other hand I could put him on would be AQdd where I would be marginal favourite, but then he would have felted the 5bet wouldn't he??

Anyway, I would have gone all in on this hand 10 times out of 10 in the past, and I am not sure I have made the right decision. However my results have improved dramatically over the past 10 days since adjusting this strategy

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